Bitcoin’s Iran rally enters a 60-day test as oil shock fears shift to the Fed

- Bitcoin’s Iran rally is now a 60-day hostage negotiation. The MOU signed, oil dropped 5%, and the Strait of Hormuz risk premium evaporated faster than a moonboy’s savings. BTC got a relief bid because lower crude means less inflation fear, which might finally make the Fed blink. But don’t pop the champagne yet; this is just the preamble. If talks stall, that oil tail risk snaps back, and your portfolio gets repossessed. The market is pricing in a final deal that doesn’t exist. It’s a classic meat wallet trap: buying hope before the ink dries. Watch the next 60 days like a hawk with a laser pointer. If sanctions lift, we ride. If they drag, we dump. No middle ground for the indecisive.